Sample Sheets:

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Sample 3

 


Welcome to the IN-FORM Handicapping System Introductory Seminar  

Background

For decades our handicapping team members have been passionate horseracing enthusiasts, both as fans and as owners. We share a collective in-depth experience and close associations with many other established owners, trainers and jockeys, and have been involved in every aspect of the game, from early morning training sessions, to racing and claiming “live” horses, to buying at auctions.

Despite analyzing respected handicapping tools such as speed figures and pedigree evaluations, and studying countless race replays, it became clear to us that winning at the races required a systematic approach that would handicap each and every horse in a race exactly the same way - from top to bottom.

The result is our unique handicapping point system, based entirely on readily available information: the IN-FORM system has now evolved into a comprehensive and essential tool that produces amazingly consistent results every day. Our system is refined and calibrated to identify strong plays, horses that are truly improving, and competitive horses that may appear at first glance to have no chance of winning.

The Basics

The IN-FORM system works by gathering data to arrive at an IN-FORM number. When assigning points, IN-FORM considers, among other things, key factors such as: performance charts, historical successes (e.g. today's distance and racetrack), equipment changes, medication, speed figures, jockey assignments and changes, surface changes (e.g. turf to dirt) track conditions, workouts, and the ever-important layoff/start cycles. This relevant information is brought together in one handy, easy-to-read chart for each race, identifying the variable factors to give you the confidence to isolate true contenders and pick consistent winners.

The Process

Once you review and understand our system you will understand how our IN-FORM Numbers are relevant for every race. IN-FORM systematically calculates all aspects of each horse’s capabilities, current condition, competitiveness, and objectively ranks them accordingly. With this information sorted and identified, you can make your own selection based upon key interpretations you gain from the IN-FORM system (we recommend our subscribers to always weigh the factors and consider “boxing” a combination of high IN-FORM numbers – as proud as we are, we are the first to declare that not all high IN-FORM numbers win every race).

Analysis = Payoff

IN-FORM is very specific and very consistent in assigning points based on a time-tested methodology that has resulted in huge payoffs. To date, our highest winning IN-FORM selection is 57-1. You will soon see for yourself how the IN-FORM system produces excellent results for exactor/triple boxes and winning bets, with consistent success at our focus tracks: New York, California, Florida, Kentucky, Mid-West and Canada, as well as other smaller circuit racetracks.

By reviewing the following notes, you will quickly learn how to analyze the IN-FORM numbers with a glance of the page…


QUICK TIP: FAST PICKS

For super-fast handicapping, simply box the top 3 IN-FORM Numbers for exactors, and the top four for triples and supers, and a combination of both when playing pick 3’s, pick 4’s, pick 6’s and other multiple-leg plays.

QUICK TIP: KEY POSITIVE INDICATORS

 

When handicapping horses of similar potential, look for the following 5 positive indicators:

1.          IN-FORM Number

2.          Speed Figure Profiles

-     best last and second last speed figures

-     improving speed figure pattern

-     10-15 point improvement in last-race speed figure

3.          3rd Start after a layoff

4.          Preference to today’s track, surface, and distance

5.          Consecutive, productive workouts between races

 

QUICK TIP: KEY NEGATIVE INDICATORS

 

Don’t ignore these significant indicators of potential negative performance:

  1. Vet scratch, steward scratch or trainer scratch (e.g. off-turf) since last race
  2. 16+ point improvement in last-race speed figure

QUICK TIP: WET WEATHER RACING

When observing racing affected by moisture (e.g. turf race rescheduled to dirt track, wet dirt surface changing from slow to mud to slop, or drying out), several factors will come into play, while others will no longer be significant. Be sure to check your past-performance sheets for indications and preferences on wet tracks, yielding or soft turf, and main track performances. Trainer statistics are also invaluable in determining a horse’s chances under unusual circumstances.


Reading and Understanding the IN-FORM Subscriber’s Spreadsheet:

Column 1: (“PP/HORSE”) Post Position and Horse Name

 

Be sure to verify the horse’s post position with the official track program and announced changes due to late scratches, surface change, printing or data error.

 

Column 2: (“IN-FORM”) IN-FORM Number

 

IN-FORM numbers will be ranked in descending order (the top 4 featured in bold type) based on accumulated IN-FORM points. When assigned identical IN-FORM numbers, horses will be listed in post-position order, but further evaluation is required to identify the stronger play (i.e. speed figures, workouts, jockey, etc.).

 

Column 3: (“DIST”) Race Distances

Denotes two numbers: on top is the distance of the horse’s last race, and beneath it is the distance of the horse’s previous race.

Note: We strongly recommend examining if a change of distance is positive or negative. For example, it is not recommended to wager on a horse making a significant cut-back from a route race to a sprint (e.g. 9 furlongs to 6 furlongs), even if it has the highest IN-FORM number, unless trainer statistics support such a move (likewise, turf racing can result in similarly exceptional outcomes). Otherwise, it may be wisest to pick such horses to finish “underneath” in exotics, as warranted.

 

Column 4: (“SPD”) Speed Figures

 

Two numbers are stacked in this column. On top is the horse’s last-race speed figure, beneath it is its second-last race speed figure. As strong proponents of qualified speed figures, IN-FORM indicates with an asterisk (*) the horse with the best last-race speed figure, and the horse with the best second-last race speed figure.

 

Note: In cases where a horse has the best last-race speed figure plus the best second-last race speed figure, we consider it to be to be a very strong play, even though a horse may not have the highest IN-FORM Number. A horse assigned both asterisks could be considered a "key" horse in exotics. While most likely at low odds, such horses generally run with a consistent in-the-money finish, often setting up nice exotic payoffs.

 

Column 5: (“JUMP”) Speed Figure Jumps

 

Identifies an increase or decrease in assigned speed figures over a horse’s last two races.  Horses with an increase between 10-15 points have positive potential, and are identified here with an asterisk (*), but a horse with a speed figure increase of 16 points or more is very likely to run a sub-par effort, and is identified with a double asterisk (**).

 

Note: We strongly support the "bounce" theory, where a horse’s performance declines after a major jump in speed figures (+16 points or more). However, factors such as change of racetrack surface, condition or distance could make a speed figure jump or decline less relevant.

 

Column 6: (“STRK”) Speed Streaks

 

If a horse shows a consecutive increase (or streak) in its speed figures for its most recent three or more races, we consider it to be improving, and rate it very positively in our system. Conversely, we recommend avoiding a horse with three or more speed figures in a descending pattern, as it is a very negative trend.

 

Note: A horse returning after a long layoff that shows outdated speed figures may be difficult to determine as being in a positive or negative situation. Check the horse’s recent workouts, its previous layoff history, and the trainer’s stats for returns after layoffs.

 

Column 7: (“START”) Layoff/Start Cycles

 

A horse making the ever-important third start off a layoff (or its fourth) will be denoted by their respective indications (i.e. “3” indicates third start off a layoff, and “4” indicates fourth start off a layoff).

 

Column 8: (“TRACK”) Track, Surface and Condition

 

Two descriptors are stacked to indicate where the horse last raced: the track abbreviation is on top, and beneath it the type of surface and the track condition.

 

Note: We are strong proponents of the “turf to dirt” angle, and recommend considering any horse making such a move. Conversely, a horse making its first start on turf is a significant change. Even when well prepared, a closer look is called for to reveal if it is bred for turf as well as for today’s distance.

Column 9: (“CLMD”) Claiming Level and Activity

Two stacked numbers, showing the claiming level (in thousands of dollars) the horse raced at (if applicable) in its last two races, the most recent race being on top. An asterisk (*) notes if the horse was claimed from such a race.

Note: Allowance, Stakes, Handicap and Maiden Special Weights are indicated with a zero (0).

Column 10: (“LASIX”) Lasix Medication

 

We consider first-time use of lasix and second-time lasix to be a very positive change in a horse’s regimen and note first time lasix with the number “one” (1) and second time lasix with the number “two” (2).

 

 Column 11: (“BLNK”) Blinkers

Denoted as "ON” or “OFF".

Note: We consider “Blinkers ON” to be very positive move, suggesting a trainer’s winning strategy. “Blinkers OFF” can be a negative indicator in some cases. This would require closer evaluation to determine a trainer’s decision for this equipment change (e.g. review statistics revealing trainer information for such moves (such as Blinkers On/Off).

 

Column 12: (“TR/DST”) In-the-Money Finishes

 

Indicating today's track and today’s distance, denoted by two sets of stacked numbers, the first set identifies the number of times the horse has started at today's racetrack and the number of first, second and third place finishes at this racetrack. The second set of numbers in this column consists of how many times this horse competed at today's distance and surface, and the number of firsts, seconds and thirds.

Note: We strongly believe in "horses for courses" and the distance capabilities of certain horses based on their pedigree. We do not recommend including a horse with a poor in-the-money record at today’s track, surface, and/or distance.

In maiden races in general, and with first-time starters in particular, discretion must be used before supporting such horses. Consult statistics and patterns to confirm your choices.

Likewise, with first-time starters on Polytrack surfaces, or with European shippers (especially as first-time starters on any surface that’s new to the horse, including firm turf), extra attention must be placed on pedigree, conditioning and trainer statistics, patterns and expertise.

 

Column 13: (“WORKOUT”) Workout Intervals

Workouts are very important indicators of a horse’s condition and its eventual IN-FORM points total.

The “workout intervals” column is shown as a series of numbers (to a maximum of 6) indicating a horse’s workout pattern leading up to today’s race since its last race (if recent). The number to the right in square brackets (e.g. [24]) indicates the days passed since the horse’s last race [in this case, 24 days]. No bracketed number or double zeros [00] indicate no previous race history or a long lay-off since its last race. An “un-bracketed” number to the left of the bracketed number indicates the number of days between the horse’s last race and its first recorded workout since then. If there is more than one un-bracketed number, it indicates more than one workout since the horse’s last race.

 

The un-bracketed numbers in this column identify the number of days between such workouts, leading up to today’s race. For example, if the column reads 10 8 7 15 [43], READING FROM RIGHT TO LEFT, it indicates that 15 days after its last race [43 days ago], a horse had a workout, then another workout 7 days later, and finally, another workout 8 days later, which was, logically, 10 days prior to today’s race day.

Here’s another way to look at the same column, this time READING LEFT TO RIGHT: 10 8 7 15 [43], indicates that 10 days prior to today's race, a horse had its most recent published workout, which was 8 days after its previous workout, which was 7 days earlier than that, and 15 days after its most recent race, which was 43 days ago. Of course, if there are no un-bracketed numbers in this column, then there were no published workout activity since the horse’s last race.

 

Note: The times of workouts are not shown because we are most interested in the activity and spacing of works leading up to today's race. However, we consider certain times very positive, and indicate a best-of-day workout with an asterisk (*). Also, consecutive workouts that are within 2/5 seconds of each other will indicate a horse is in good order, consistently training very well, and we would expect it to run a very competitive race. Such a pair of workouts are indicated with a double asterisk (**) beside the workout interval numbers. As such, it is possible for a workout to earn three asterisks (***) to indicate one of two similar back-to-back workouts which happen to be the best of that day at that distance.

When reviewing a horse’s workout regimen, we can observe how a horse responded after its last race (assuming it has worked since its last race) and what the trainer’s "state of mind" might have been in evaluating and moving forward with the horse. For example, a positive work pattern since a horse’s last race would be multiple works spaced between 5-9 days apart (optimum), and/or a workout 10-14 days after a race (encouraging). Analysis confirms that a horse working in the above noted patterns, consistently and at regular intervals (although possibly at varying distances), would be an indicator it is being prepared to run a competitive race.


Column 14: (“JOCKEY”) Assigned Jockey

Denotes the jockey assigned for today's race, and the jockey of this horse’s previous race.

 Note: Some trainers will have a preferred "go-to” jockey for a specific and necessary change when they see fit, with winning moves in mind. And don’t discount that jockeys are in this business to make money – where they go, whom they decide to ride for, and which horses they have ridden previously are all factors in determining which jock is to ride a horse. Review the jockey colony at each track and assign your own ranking based on the current meet’s results (e.g. who's hot and who's not). Refer frequently to the track’s trainer and jockey statistics for further analysis.

 

Column 15: (“SCRATCH/NOTES”)

 

Scratch Notes

NOTE: THIS SECTION REQUIRES YOUR MONITORING AS AN IN-FORM SUBSCRIBER

It is an essential step for you to check every race participant for being recently scratched from a race since it last competed.

If a horse has been scratched from a race (subsequent to its last race) by a steward, vet or trainer, we will look elsewhere for the winner, even if it has a high IN-FORM number. Depending on which track, recent veterinarian scratches may win as seldom as 5 per cent of the time, and trainer and steward scratches only slightly better. We have observed at some tracks that top trainers can perform better than the average trainer under such conditions, but we remain adamant that you exercise caution under these conditions.

Note: Vet, steward and trainer scratches are indicated in past-performance publications (e.g. Daily Racing Form) and are posted and/or published in the official results charts. Be sure to identify where these facts can be obtained, and make note of each and every case for each and every race.

In Summary: Wrapping it all up with IN-FORM Numbers

As fellow horseplayers, we trust you find our IN-FORM Handicapping System and Numbers to be a relevant  tool you can utilize each day when determining your selections. We are confident that using our program will lead to consistent results and a positive return at the windows!

 

Best of Luck to You from your IN-FORM Handicapping System team!

Note that our numbers are published for recreational purposes only – this is not a gambling website.

 



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